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SMF Blogs > Company Earnings > March 2009

 

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Bloomberg reports UBS AG, Switzerland’s biggest bank, posted a 20.9 billion Swiss franc ($18 billion) loss for 2008, more than initially reported, and said it remains “extremely cautious” about the outlook for this year.

The full-year net loss widened by 1.19 billion francs from the figure reported on Feb. 10 because of costs to settle a U.S. tax investigation and additional writedowns on securities, the Zurich-based bank said in its annual report, published today.

UBS’s outlook follows more upbeat comments from New York- based Citigroup Inc. and Deutsche Bank AG of Frankfurt.

Banking shares, including UBS, rallied the past two days after Citigroup Chief Executive Officer Vikram Pandit said in an internal memo that his bank was having the best quarter since 2007, when it last posted a profit.

Deutsche Bank, which said revenue in January rose “significantly,” saw the trend continuing in February, CEO Josef Ackermann told Handelsblatt last week.

“I don’t think the first quarter for UBS is going as well as for Citigroup or Deutsche Bank,” said Dirk Becker, an analyst with Kepler Capital Markets in Frankfurt who has a “reduce” rating on the stock.

“UBS still has troubled assets on the balance sheet and problems with asset flows.” UBS rose 18 centimes, or 1.8 percent, to 9.97 francs by 11:39 a.m. in Swiss trading, compared with a 3.3 percent advance in the 65-company Bloomberg Europe Banks and Financial Services Index.

The shares are down 33 percent so far this year. Earnings ‘at Risk’ UBS agreed on Feb. 18 to pay $780 million and disclose the names of about 300 secret account holders to avoid U.S. criminal prosecution on a charge that it helped wealthy Americans evade taxes.

The bank also marked down securities that haven’t yet been transferred to the Swiss National Bank’s fund as part of a government aid package following record losses. “Our near-term outlook remains extremely cautious,” Chairman Peter Kurer and Chief Executive Officer Oswald Gruebel said in a letter to shareholders.

“Even after substantial risk reduction, our balance sheet remains exposed to illiquid and volatile markets and our earnings will therefore remain at risk for some time to come.” UBS hired Gruebel, the former head of rival Credit Suisse Group AG, last month to replace Marcel Rohner as CEO to restore investor confidence.

Last week, the bank nominated Kaspar Villiger, a former Swiss finance minister, as a new chairman of its board of directors, replacing Kurer. Cutting Risks, Costs The 2008 loss is the biggest in Switzerland’s history.

UBS amassed more than $50 billion in writedowns and losses since the beginning of the financial crisis, forcing it to raise more than $32 billion in capital from investors, including the Swiss government, and cut 11,000 jobs. Financial institutions worldwide have reported $1.2 trillion of losses and shed more than 284,000 jobs since the U.S. subprime mortgage market collapsed, data compiled by Bloomberg show.

The U.S., Britain, France and Germany are among nations that injected billions into banks to prevent a wider financial calamity following the September collapse of Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. UBS plans to further cut risks, reduce assets on the balance sheet and lower costs this year to return the bank “as soon as possible to a sustainable level of overall profitability,” Kurer and Gruebel’s letter said.

While reporting earnings on Feb. 10, Rohner said the bank would have a profit in 2009. Rohner, who was the highest-paid member of the executive board last year, received total compensation of 1.8 million francs. Kurer’s compensation was 1.57 million francs, UBS said.

Client Investments UBS is fighting a U.S. lawsuit that seeks to force the disclosure of as many as 52,000 names of American customers who allegedly hid their Swiss accounts from tax authorities. The bank said today that net new money at its wealth management Americas unit “remains positive.”

Those gains have been partially offset by withdrawals at the wealth management and Swiss bank division.

The asset management unit is also seeing further client redemptions, UBS said. Clients of UBS’s money-managing units pulled 226 billion francs from the bank in 2008.

In the fourth quarter, the only area where UBS saw an inflow of new money was in the U.S., where the bank hired almost 400 brokers.

The bank lured advisers by offering signing bonuses of as much as 260 percent of the revenue they brought in over the previous 12 months, two people with knowledge of the matter said last month.  



 

Prepare yourself for the "New Economy"


 
Posted: 3/11/2009 8:04:00 AM by StockMarketFunding | with 0 comments


 

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Friedman Billings notes last night Marvell reported fiscal 4Q09 financial results that were better than expected, as in-line revs and slightly worse-than-expected gross margins were more than fully offset by better-than-expected operating expense spending reductions.

Further cost benefits remain from Marvell's recently enacted 15% headcount cut. Calendar 1Q09 rev guidance of $490-530 mln was eight points better than the consensus est. End-mkt commentary was very limited, and they suspect Marvell's cellular business will fare worse in 1Q than its storage, enterprise, or Wi-Fi business segments, as initial Blackberry Bold (RIMM) build rates decline and as the firm's applications processor business is pressured.

Firm raises their tgt to $11 from $10.50. Firm likes MRVL for a move towards $10 given (1) hard drive share gains in 2H09 and 2010 in client and enterprise drives; (2) may capitalize on a reduced competitive environment for cellular chips in the coming years; and (3) valuation seems attractive at a forward P/E of 11x and 1.6x EV/S.

Oppenheimer notes opex was again a highlight, with spending down $31 mln seq. to $235 mln, well below guidance of $255-265 mln. While MRVL admittedly had more fat to trim than most, firm commends mgmt for having the courage to right-size the business in the face of a new demand reality.

They believe Feb orders improved M/M, consistent with peer commentary at Opco's recent Vail conf.

Visibility remains compromised, however, and their checks in Asia suggest current orders are largely inventory restocking. Inventory days are elevated, but given MRVL's sole-source status on the majority of its sockets, they believe inventory/pricing risk is relatively muted.

While demand headwinds will likely persist through much of 2009, they believe risk/reward remains favorable at current levels given MRVL's opex discipline, strong balance sheet and attractive long-term product cycles. Firm raises their tgt to $12 from $10.  



 

Prepare yourself for the "New Economy"


 
Posted: 3/6/2009 11:25:38 AM by StockMarketFunding | with 0 comments


 

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Reports Q1 (Jan) earnings of $0.83 per share, $0.07 better than the First Call consensus of $0.76; revenues rose 18.0% year/year to $755 mln vs the $782.3 mln consensus.

Co reaffirms guidance for FY09, sees EPS of $3.60-4.00 vs. $3.51 consensus; sees FY09 revs of $3.5-3.7 bln vs. $3.45 bln consensus. Bookings in the first quarter were $538 million compared to $870 million in last year's first quarter.

Although co continues to believe that the path toward industrialization of emerging markets will drive high rates of commodity demand over the long term, it also expects the near-term markets to remain uncertain and volatile.

Co continues to take precautionary steps to reduce its risk exposure through expense controls and reduction of operating costs.

These efforts include hiring freezes, control of discretionary expense, aggressive management of its supply chain, and more critical reviews of the financial stability of its operating partners, including suppliers, subcontractors and customers.

Just as the Company expects the conditions of uncertainty and volatility to persist through 2009, it also expects the booking rates for its original equipment during this period to remain substantially below the comparable booking levels of 2008.

The Company believes that lower demand for its original equipment could persist for a period longer than that covered by its current backlog, and is therefore developing plans to ensure it fulfills its commitments to customers and investors during 2009 while reducing the scale and scope of the business to be appropriate for the range of market conditions that could exist in fiscal 2010.  



 

Prepare yourself for the "New Economy"


 
Posted: 3/4/2009 7:21:14 AM by StockMarketFunding | with 0 comments


 

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Reports Q4 (Jan) earnings of $1.00 per share, excluding discontinued operations, $0.07 better than the First Call consensus of $0.93; revenues fell 3.2% year/year to $1.37 bln vs the $1.36 bln consensus.

Co issues upside guidance for Q1, sees EPS of 0.34-0.40, excluding non-recurring items, vs. $0.35 consensus. Co issues upside guidance for FY10, sees EPS of $1.75-1.90, excluding non-recurring items, vs. $1.74 consensus.

Co estimates Q1 comparable store sales will decrease 1-3% which is consistent with quarter to date trends experienced through March 3, 2009.  



 

Prepare yourself for the "New Economy"


 
Posted: 3/4/2009 7:14:24 AM by StockMarketFunding | with 0 comments


 

Sign up today for our FREE SMF Economic Club Newsletter -- and get fresh ideas, proven tips of the trade, and insider information sent directly to your inbox.  Most importantly, our traders know the market. Get immediate insight and professional stock market commentary.
 

 


Reports Q1 (Jan) loss of $0.55 per share, includes pre-tax write-downs totaling $156.6 mln, $0.02 worse than the First Call consensus of ($0.53); revenues fell 51.4% year/year to $409 mln vs the $425.3 mln consensus.

Joel H. Rassman, CFO, stated: "Given the numerous uncertainties related to sales paces, sales prices, mortgage markets, cancellations, market direction and the potential for and size of future impairments, it is particularly difficult in the current climate to provide guidance for the rest of FY 2009.

As a result, we will not provide earnings guidance at this time. However, subject to the caveats above and those contained in our Statement on Forward-Looking Information included in this release and in our other public filings, we offer the following limited guidance.

"Based on FY 2009's first-quarter-end backlog of $1.04 billion and the pace of activity at our communities, we currently estimate that we will deliver between 2,000 and 3,000 homes in FY 2009 at an average delivered price of between $600,000 and $625,000 per home.

We believe that, as a result of continuing incentives and slower sales paces per community, our cost of sales as a percentage of revenues, before taking into account write-downs, will be higher in FY 2009 than in FY 2008.

Based on FY 2009's lower projected revenues, we expect our SG&A expenses, exclusive of interest, to be lower in absolute dollar terms in FY 2009 than in FY 2008; however, we expect it will be higher as a percentage of revenues in FY 2009 than in FY 2008."

In FY09, Q1-end backlog of approx $1.04 bln (1,647 units) decreased 56% from FY08's Q1-end backlog of $2.40 bln (3,341 units).  



 

Prepare yourself for the "New Economy"


 
Posted: 3/4/2009 7:08:45 AM by StockMarketFunding | with 0 comments


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