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Geithner sees hopeful signs in US economy

 

 

 

The bear market rally continues as the Associated Press reports positive comments from Tim Geithner on the economy.

When things are bad, they tell us how we need to be fearful of how bad it will be if we don't take action and do what they say. To all our trading students and people considering believing this move up, caveat empower.

Bear Markets have a funny way of making all the shorts pay for being correct, but ill timed. They like to suck in as much cash off the side lines as possible to push the move higher right before the sharp reversal.

Understanding how to invest and trade in bear markets is a skill that you will not learn at the popular financial services firms. They tend to preach buy and hold which represents the bulk of investors who lost over 50% in equity funds in 2008.

While we told traders the up move still has some room to go higher, longer term we see this overall move is a standard bear market rally we called correctly in early March.


We embrace bear markets because they create tremendous opportunity and we called for 2009 to be a professional traders market before the trading year ever started.

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BEIJING (AP) --U.S. Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner says the U.S. financial system is in much better shape these days and there is more stability in the overall economy.

Geithner told reporters traveling with him Beijing that there are a number of signs the U.S. economy is beginning to stabilize.

The U.S. has been mired in its longest recession since World War II. But Geithner said much more needs to be done -- both in the U.S. and elsewhere -- to make a sustainable recovery possible.  



 

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Posted: 5/31/2009 9:48:54 AM by Global Administrator | with 0 comments


 

 

 

VAN BUREN TOWNSHIP, Mich. (AP) -- Auto parts supplier Visteon Corp. said Thursday it -- along with some of its U.S. units -- has filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection, as the company struggles with reduced demand from automakers amid plans for extended plant shutdowns this summer.

The company filed its petition in the U.S. Bankruptcy Court for the District of Delaware. The company's Visteon UK Ltd. unit separately filed for bankruptcy protection last month and closed three British plants.

The Van Buren Township, Mich.-based auto parts supplier earlier this month posted a sharp drop in first-quarter revenue as automakers cut back on their output in the face of dwindling car sales. According to Visteon's latest quarterly filing with regulators, the company had total liabilities of $3.96 billion and total assets of $4.56 billion at March 31.

Cash and short-term investments totaled $625 million. "During the reorganization period, we will seek to address our capital structure and legacy costs that are not sustainable given the current economic environment," said Donald J. Stebbins, chairman and chief executive, in a statement. Visteon expects to fund its operations with cash on hand, cash flows from operations and a debtor-in-possession facility.

Former parent Ford Motor Co., from which Visteon was spun off in 2000, has committed to support such debtor-in-possession financing for Visteon's restructuring efforts and to ensure long-term continuous supplies.

Ford accounted for about 31 percent of the company's first-quarter product sales. Concurrent with its Chapter 11 filing, Visteon filed a first day motion request seeking the authority to continue serving customers and paying suppliers and employees.

The company has facilities in 27 countries and employs approximately 31,000 people. Visteon's legal adviser is Kirkland & Ellis LLP; its restructuring adviser is Alvarez & Marsal and Rothschild Inc. is serving as financial adviser.

Visteon's filing comes as Detroit-based automaker Chrysler LLC heads back to bankruptcy court, angling for a judge's permission to sell most of its assets to a group headed by Italian automaker Fiat Group SpA. Rival U.S. automaker General Motors Corp. appears likely to also file for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection, after bondholders' overwhelmingly rejected GM's offer to swap a 10 percent stake in a reorganized company for the $27 billion they are owed.  



 

Prepare yourself for the "New Economy"


 
Posted: 5/28/2009 10:27:35 AM by StockMarketFunding | with 0 comments


 


NEW YORK (AP) -- Stocks are sharply higher amid reports that a General Motors Corp. bondholders committee accepted an amended debt offer.

Trading in GM shares is halted. CNBC is reporting that bondholders would get 10 percent of the equity in the company. That might still not spare the company from bankruptcy, however.

Stocks are higher after tumbling Wednesday on worries about rising borrowing costs.

Wall Street is also advancing as readings on jobless claims and big-ticket manufactured goods suggest the economy is stabilizing.

In the first minutes of trading, the Dow Jones Industrial Average is up 65 at 8,361. The Standard & Poor's 500 index is up 7 at 900, while the Nasdaq composite index is up 15 at 1,747. 

 

Form 8-K for GENERAL MOTORS CORP

28-May-2009

ITEM 8.01 Other Events

U.S. Treasury 363 Sale Proposal As previously announced, GM's exchange offers for $27.2 billion of its unsecured public notes (the Notes) and the related consent solicitations expired on May 26, 2009 and the exchange offers will not be consummated.

GM's Board of Directors will be meeting to discuss GM's next steps.

The U.S. Department of the Treasury (U.S. Treasury), GM's largest lender, has indicated to GM that if GM decides to seek relief under the U.S. Bankruptcy Code and seek bankruptcy court approval for the sale of substantially all of its assets pursuant to section 363(b) of the U.S. Bankruptcy Code, the U.S. Treasury currently anticipates that a new company sponsored by the U.S. Treasury (New GM) would agree to acquire such assets (the 363 Sale) from GM (following the 363 Sale, GM is referred to as Old GM) substantially on the indicative terms set forth below under the heading U.S. Treasury 363 Sale Proposal (the Proposal).

As provided in the Proposal, the U.S. Treasury has indicated that if holders of Notes of an amount satisfactory to the U.S. Treasury have provided (prior to 5:00 pm EDT on Saturday, May 30, 2009) statements of support satisfactory to the U.S. Treasury indicating that they will not oppose the 363 Sale (if conducted on terms substantially consistent with the Proposal), the U.S. Treasury currently would propose that New GM issue to Old GM as a portion of the consideration offered in connection with the 363 Sale 10% of the common equity of New GM and warrants to purchase an aggregate of 15% of the equity of New GM.

The U.S. Treasury has indicated that if these statements of support are not received, the amount of common equity and warrants that it would propose be issued by New GM to Old GM would be substantially reduced or eliminated.

We have been informed by the advisors to the unofficial committee of unsecured GM Noteholders, Houlihan Lokey Howard & Zukin Capital, Inc. (financial advisors) and Paul, Weiss, Rifkind, Wharton & Garrison LLP (legal counsel), that the unofficial committee and other large Noteholders (who collectively hold approximately 20% in aggregate principal amount of the Notes) support the economic terms of the Proposal. U.S. Treasury 363 Sale Proposal 363 Sale Pursuant to Section 363(b) of the U.S. Bankruptcy Code, (a) GM and its debtor subsidiaries (collectively, the "Sellers") would sell to New GM substantially all of the assets of Sellers (other than certain specified assets) and (b) New GM would assume certain specified liabilities of the Sellers. Following the 363 Sale, the U.S. Treasury contemplates that:  the approximately $27.2 billion principal amount of Notes would ultimately comprise substantially all of Old GM's debt and a significant majority of the total unsecured claims against Old GM, although there can be no assurance as to the ultimate amount of unsecured claims against Old GM that might arise in the context of a Chapter 11 case,1 and

� if issued, the New GM common equity and warrants described below would comprise a substantial portion of Old GM's assets Capitalization of New GM would be expected to have the following New GM: capitalization: Debt

� Approximately $17 billion estimated total consolidated debt (excluding debt related to GM's automotive supplier financing program and warranty program), including approximately:

� $8.0 billion of debt owed to U.S. Treasury2

� $2.5 billion of debt owed to new Voluntary Employee Beneficiary Association ("New VEBA")

� $6.5 billion of other debt Perpetual

� $9.0 billion cumulative perpetual preferred stock with preferred stock a 9% dividend per annum

� $2.5 billion issued to the U.S. Treasury2

� $6.5 billion issued to New VEBA 1 In the event the total allowed unsecured claims against Old GM exceed $35.0 billion the U.S. Treasury has agreed that New GM would issue up to an additional 2% of New GM common equity to Old GM. 2 A portion of the debt financing for New GM may be provided by the governments of Canada and Ontario in which case a portion of the perpetual preferred stock and common equity of New GM to be provided to the U.S. Treasury will be allocated to the governments of Canada and Ontario. 

Common equity The outstanding common equity of New GM would be allocated as follows after consummation of the 363 Sale (without giving effect to the warrants described below):

� 72.5% to the U.S. Treasury 2

� 17.5% to New VEBA

� 10% to Old GM Warrants Old GM Warrant 1

� Old GM to receive warrants to acquire newly issued shares of New GM equal to 7.5% of New GM common equity outstanding at closing, exercisable at any time prior to the seventh anniversary of issuance, with an exercise price set at the share price that would equate to an aggregate equity value of $15 billion based on the shares outstanding at closing, fully diluted for the issuance of such warrants Old GM Warrant 2

� Old GM to receive warrants to acquire newly issued shares of New GM equal to 7.5% of New GM common equity outstanding at closing, exercisable at any time prior to the tenth anniversary of issuance, with an exercise price set at the share price that would equate to an aggregate equity value of $30 billion based on the shares outstanding at closing, fully diluted for the issuance of such warrants New VEBA Warrant

� New VEBA to receive warrants to acquire newly issued shares of New GM equal to 2.5% of New GM common equity outstanding at December 31, 2009, exercisable at any time prior to December 31, 2015, with an exercise price set at the share price that would equate to an aggregate equity value of $75 billion based on the shares outstanding at issuance of the warrants, fully diluted for the issuance of such warrants Debtor-in-Possession The U.S. Treasury, by or through itself or New GM, together Financing and U.S. Treasury with one or more non-U.S. governmental entities, will offer Debt Reduction debtor-in-possession financing to Sellers to provide funds for the wind down and liquidation of Sellers' remaining assets. Other than the $8.0 billion of debt owed to the U.S. Treasury by New GM described above, all amounts owed by Old GM, other Sellers or New GM to the U.S. Treasury under existing debt (excluding debt related to GM's automotive supplier financing program and warranty program), debtor-in-possession financing or other financing to New GM in connection with the 363 Sale would be equitized (such equitized amount estimated to be in excess of $50 billion, as compared to an equitization of at least $10.7 billion contemplated by the U.S. Treasury Debt Conversion condition of the expired exchange offers) in exchange for the New GM preferred stock, common equity and warrants described above. No other debt will be owed by Old GM or other Sellers to the U.S. Treasury. Noteholder Support The U.S. Treasury's proposal above with respect to the amount of New GM common equity and warrants currently proposed to be issued to Old GM is subject to holders of an amount of Notes satisfactory to the U.S. Treasury having provided (prior to 5:00 pm EDT, Saturday, May 30, 2009) statements of support satisfactory to the U.S. Treasury indicating that they will not oppose the 363 Sale (if conducted on terms substantially consistent with the terms described above). The U.S. Treasury has indicated that if these statements of support are not received, the amount of common equity and warrants that it would propose be issued by New GM to Old GM would be substantially reduced or eliminated. 


 

Prepare yourself for the "New Economy"


 
Posted: 5/28/2009 8:39:10 AM by Global Administrator | with 0 comments


 

 

 

At StockMarketFunding.com we speak at great lengths to our clients about the commodity market whether it be gold, silver, iron ore, copper, or potash. Rio Tinto's announcement today to lower steel iron ore prices comes at no surprise to us. While we've been telling clients how the highway to inflation would playout over 2009 and what opportunities they need to look for.

It wasn't long ago the Rio Tino was raising it's pricing right along side steelmaker Companhia Vale do Rio Doce (RIO) back in September of 2008. We told clients back then that this move was designed to gouge the Chineese before the deflation in commodity pricing started.

There will be a great deal of opportunity for those who are prepared for it.

Rio Tinto Ltd., the world's third-largest miner, said Tuesday it has agreed with Japan's Nippon Steel Corp. to cut its iron ore prices by more than a third for this year, foreshadowing a wider industry slump in prices.

The Rio Tinto agreed to sell its Pilbara and Yandicoogina fine ores at 97 U.S. cents per dry metric ton unit versus 144.66 cents last year, a reduction of 33 percent. Nippon Steel is Japan's biggest steel maker. Higher-quality lump ore will sell for 112 cents a ton, down nearly 45 percent from 201.69 cents.

Overall, the blended average price reduction -- which applies to all iron ore delivered during the year from April 1 -- was 37 percent. As the first major contract announced in the steel industry this year amid slumping demand from the construction and car manufacturing industries, the Rio deal is expected to set a benchmark for negotiations between other iron ore producers and steel makers.

"We believe this settlement is a realistic outcome for both parties, one that reflects the global market for iron ore and the current challenging market conditions facing our customers," said Rio Tinto iron ore chief executive Sam Walsh. BT Investment Management resources analyst Tim Barker said the new contract prices were higher than some commentators had tipped and that other producers would probably follow Rio Tinto's lead.

"I would suspect that we will see the Japanese, Koreans and Taiwanese settle in line with these figures and it will probably be with most of the producers," Barker said. But Chinese steel makers would probably hold out for a better deal.

"I don't think there will be a quick settlement with the Chinese," Barker said. China's annual negotiations with overseas iron ore suppliers are dragging on, according to the government-affiliated China Iron & Steel Association, which vehemently denied reports that Chinese steel makers had settled for 30 percent to 35 percent price cuts.

"China's steel industry and those of Japan and Korea are facing severe shocks from the global financial crisis," CISA said in a statement posted on its Web site last week. It said the annual negotiations were continuing on a basis of "mutual interest and long-term stability." Unlike in previous years, when Shanghai-based Baosteel Group led the talks, this year CISA is handling the negotiations.

The China Iron and Steel Association, whose 119 members account for more than 90 per cent of China's steel production, Analysts say it is seeking at least a 40 percent cut in this year's benchmark prices.

Japan is Rio Tinto's second-largest market, taking about 61 million U.S. tons (55 metric tons) of iron ore last year, behind the 110 million U.S. tons (100 million metric tons) sold to Chinese companies. Rio shares in Sydney rose 1.38 Australian dollars ($1.06) to AU$65.46 ($50.45).  



 

Prepare yourself for the "New Economy"


 
Posted: 5/26/2009 7:11:11 AM by StockMarketFunding | with 0 comments


 

 

 


WASHINGTON (AP) -- The federal seizure of struggling Florida thrift BankUnited FSB is expected to cost the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. $4.9 billion, representing the second-largest hit to the FDIC's insurance fund since the financial crisis began felling banks last year.

The costliest was last year's seizure of California lender IndyMac Bank, on which the bank insurance fund is estimated to have lost $10.7 billion. The Office of Thrift Supervision, a Treasury Department agency, said Thursday that BankUnited FSB reported $1.2 billion in losses last year as defaults on loans piled up.

The thrift "was critically undercapitalized and in an unsafe condition to conduct business," the agency said in a statement. Coral Gables, Fla.-based BankUnited FSB is the 34th federally insured institution to be closed this year, and the biggest.

Florida's largest banking institution with about $13 billion in assets as of May 2 was sold for $900 million to an investor group led by former North Fork Bancorp Chairman and CEO John Kanas. It will reopen as a newly chartered savings bank called BankUnited on Friday, with Kanas at the helm.

The investor group includes several prominent firms: the Blackstone Group, the Carlyle Group, Centerbridge Partners and WL Ross & Co., the private-equity firm run by billionaire investor Wilbur Ross. The new bank will assume $12.7 billion in assets and $8.3 billion of its total $8.6 billion in deposits. In addition, the FDIC and the new bank agreed to share losses on about $10.7 billion in assets.

Deposits will be insured by the FDIC, and customers can continue to use BankUnited FSB checks, ATM cards and debit cards, the FDIC said. The failed bank's parent was BankUnited Financial Corp. It had 1,083 employees and 85 branches, all in Florida, mostly located along the state's southeast coast. The 34 bank failures this year in the U.S. compare with 25 in 2008 and just three in 2007.

As the economy nationwide has soured, amid rising unemployment, tumbling home prices and soaring loan defaults, bank failures have cascaded and sapped billions out of the deposit insurance fund. According to the most recent data available, the fund now stands at its lowest level in nearly a quarter-century -- $18.9 billion as of Dec. 31, compared with $52.4 billion at the end of 2007.

The FDIC expects that bank failures will cost the insurance fund around $65 billion through 2013. The FDIC has planned to impose a new emergency fee on U.S. banks to replenish the fund. Legislation passed by Congress this week boosts the FDIC's authority to borrow from the Treasury Department if needed from $30 billion to $100 billion, allowing the agency to reduce the amount of the insurance fees.

The failure of IndyMac, which had $32 billion in assets, was the second-largest last year, trailing only the September collapse of Washington Mutual Inc. Thrifts have been the most troubled regulated institutions during the financial crisis and among the most spectacular failures.

By law, they must have at least 65 percent of their lending in mortgages and other consumer loans -- making them particularly vulnerable to the housing downturn.

Seattle-based thrift Washington Mutual was the biggest bank to collapse in U.S. history, with around $307 billion in assets. It was later acquired by JPMorgan Chase & Co. for $1.9 billion.  



 

Prepare yourself for the "New Economy"


 
Posted: 5/22/2009 7:30:06 AM by StockMarketFunding | with 0 comments


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