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Market Commentary
Stock Market Outlook 2012 S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, VIX Technical Analysis
Date: 1/6/2012
Stock Market Outlook 2012
S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, VIX Technical Analysis (VIDEO).Stock Market Outlook - For all high net worth individuals, mutual fund managers, hedge fund managers, and individual retail investors and traders.
S&P500 (SPY) earnings yields (7%) versus 10-year Treasury yields (2%) make the US stock market quite cheap, based on the standard retail model of asset valuations. SMF feels the "headline risk" remains in the markets and at these price levels markets have more risk to the downside going into the earnings season. We have possible headlines coming out of Iran, Europe, Greece, Itay, Spain, and the United States based on the current "debt crisis" hitting all these nations.
The stock market brought in the New Year with a bang. On the first trading day of 2012, the stock market as measured by the S&P 500 Index gained +1.54%.In this live "stock market update", StockMarketFunding will cover how we see 2012 playing out based on many factors. It's an election year in 2012, will Barrack Obama win? Or will Mitt Romney, Rick Santorum, or Ron Paul challenge him?
Time will tell, but for now we remain focused on stocks, earnings, and how to trade the recent rally. Bull vs Bear we remain neutral to the biasas and monitor weekly and monthly trends relative to the current economic outlook. Jobs offshoring, financial deregulation, and ten years of wars have severely damaged the US economy and the economic prospects of 90% of the American population.
In the first decade of the 21st century, Americans lost 5.5M manufacturing jobs. US employment in the manufacture of computer and electronic products fell by 40%; in the production of machinery by 30%, in motor vehicles and and parts by 44%, and in the manufacture of clothing by 66%. But hey, "Wall Street" says to buy stocks and be bullish on America.
No headline risk, we're all in a "New Bull Market"...nothing to see here folks.The economic "recovery" that Washington and the financial press hype is all talk and no reality. We see these types of behaviors where stocks and indicies breakout on light volume to walk cash off the sidelines. They're pricing in the headline risk so they can sell short the top end of this bull market.